The Shape of Things To Come

Post-anime might be on the horizon should some anime professionals (including one who’ll accidentally anger anime fans) be believed. Considering that many other non-Western countries (including African ones) are beginning to capitalise on their animation industries more, even if Japanese anime may not go away it’s going to face increased competition. Even China and India are stepping up handsomely.

Post-anime and its ilk might even enjoy plundering Western cartoons a lot now that anime’s gone. It’s not that they’ll be wholesome but if/when there’s a gap left by anime, substitutes are bound to happen. Even some anime professionals might move on from anime and the like for good. This makes post-anime and post-manga very likely should Japanese ACG ever crash.

An anime professional might say this, reiterating what others said and I think if they said that China and America might surpass Japan in animation, be damned if that really happened. This means post-anime’s going to be so likely it can’t be ignored anymore if anime were to die at all.

The best replacement

Like I said, I have a feeling that both China and India are due to replace replace as the leading Asian animation hubs but when it comes to the leading adult animation hub this should go to America and Europe instead. Why? There’s already a growing Western adult animation industry which’s much more common online though Adult Swim’s grown handsomely and there’s even more violent productions like Castlevania and Primal.

I even said that the history of superhero media parallels that of Japanese anime, especially when it comes to adult oriented direct to video productions though Disney has done similarly with the more family-friendly ones. The fact that the Japanese OVA era gave way to the late night years closely parallels that of Cartoon Network and Teletoon having their own late night animation blocks. (Adult Swim also airs anime by the way.)

In addition to the comical ones, there exists the likes of ‘A Scanner Darkly’, ‘Loving Vincent’ and ‘Heavy Metal’ (as in the comics). I still stand by the fact that the Western animation industry’s the best equipped to fill in anime’s void, especially when it comes to adult productions.

Defining Post-Anime

Like I said, post-anime might become a thing if/when the Japanese ACG industry either ceases to exist or at least becomes really diminished due to increased competition from other non-Western countries. African animation might become a big thing in the near future as Africa’s getting rich enough to afford supporting its animation industries a lot. China might even surpass Japan as the leading Eastern animation hub.

Some anime professionals already think the anime industry’s in trouble and anothre one might confirm it. I suspect without new Japanese anime, substitutes will take its place. Some of it might even be Western but because when you think about it Western animation’s actually catching up real quickly in adult animation. There are Western productions influenced by anime and that anime itself’s Western influenced’s saying.

I think for some post-anime professionals, looking up to Western animation might be inevitable especially if it’s seen as more mature than say Chinese or Nigerian animation is. That’s how Japanese animation was regarded as for a long time. Though I also think post-anime professionals might favour Western animation more for having a much richer, uncheckered history.

That’s not to say anime doesn’t have a long, uncheckered history. But the fact that anime can’t even exist without Western influences (some anime professionals admitted this and that Japanese studios used to do subcontractor work for American productions), makes one realise why it look so long for anime to become what it is today.

Many of the earlier anime productions are practically indistinguishable from their American counterparts, so much so that when some get dubbed it’s that easy to eliminate any traces of Japaneseness in them. So it seems anime wouldn’t become anime proper until the late 20th century and especially the 2000s when fans demand such productions’ Japaneseness to remain intact.

The histories of other non-Western non-Japanese animation industries are even spottier (though it may be that I don’t know much about those at times but it seems at the time their governments can’t afford to spend more on lavish productions much especially when poor). So I think it’s inevitable that it comes to seeking a rich animation identity after anime, Western animation will inevitably be preferred.

Though there were and are still Western-influenced anime, this becomes much more prominent following anime’s demise where the next best thing’s Western animation.

The end of anime

I sometimes think if anime were to end, replacements might inevitably happen. Market wise, there’s going to be a big demand in filling in a big gap that it’s practically the best they can do about it. I even think China and India might replace Japan in here. Even Kemono Friends’s producer and Evangelion’s Hideaki Anno speculated about similar things.

I could go on saying that Ugandan, South African, Nigerian, Zambian and Kenya animation industries might be poised to also fill in a big gap. But mainly because black representation’s so lacking in both American and Japanese animation that only the entire African animation industry can step in and clear up a world full of limited representation and stereotypical portrayals.

(You could say similar things about Nollywood really.)

Another mangaka might suggest that anime’s time’s over due to other problems and that some fans might not like what they’re saying. I also think due to increased competition especially from more non-Japanese non-Western animation industries and also the West to some extent would be enough to make it harder for anime to break into even further. Crunchyroll already got an original (read Western made) production.

American animation’s already stepping up in adult content if you observe Prymal, Rick and Morty, Castlevania and countless online animations on Newgrounds, Vimeo and YouTube. Whilst other animation industries aren’t any better, anime’s infamously built on slave labour due to the need for saving costs and quantity over quality. (Some Japanese animators may’ve already left the anime industry for good.)

Lastly but not the least, anime might turn out to be its own worst enemy due to factors like poor pay rate and other vices.

Future of American media

If America were to be split apart, the media centre (California) might partly reunite with Mexico but because Los Angeles and the like by then will be semi-autonomous city-states. Disney might still remain strong and mighty but Warner Media might see DC Comics having its 60 % stake bought by a Chinese conglomerate seeking Western influence. So much so that DC Comics might end up having a stronger audience in China and Rao help if a DC Comics crossover with King of Fighters (Japanese franchise bought by a Chinese company) were to happen in the future.

On the other hand, Warner Media might still act as co-owners with that Chinese conglomerate over DC Comics thus gaining a big foothold in the Far East and let’s face it whilst DC Comics is no stranger to having its comics published in the Philippines it will have a stronger presence should The Philippines ever join China (which is where this conglomerate comes from) and if DC Comics were to be partly owned by a Chinese company at all. (In the forseeable future, DC Comics wouldn’t just publish DC superheroes but also light novels and original series.)

Marvel will also have a strong presence in the East but still fully under Disney and I even think Disney might even use Marvel to republish old Disney comics as well as English and Chinese translations of it for the Asia-Pacific market (Australia, New Zealand, The Philippines, Singapore and Malaysia). Disney’s already doing it to Star Wars, republishing the entire Disney comics for the Anglophone market through Marvel shouldn’t be much of a stretch really.

I think both DC and Marvel might also compete for Latin America and Asia a lot, maybe Africa to some extent. (I actually swear by then, Disney and Warner might strongly vie for the African market a lot and even get their comics reprinted and translated for the Francophone African markets.) It’s not necessarily entirely uncharted territory as Africans could’ve been exposed to Disney and Warner before to whatever degree.

Though I’m beginning to think with American becoming a series of city-states, Disney and Warner may’ve to target the international market more from then on.

The new anime

I still think that if anime were to die, China and India might overtake Japan as the leading non-Western animation hubs. The fact that even Nigeria bothers to emphasise its own animation industry suggests that replacement may be possible now that anime’s on the decline. Not to mention even some anime professionals also think anime may be done in a few years, the next one might think sexualising minors might lead to its own undoing.

That’s even unsurprising that a good number of anime fans and anime professionals alike were involved in either possessing child porn or molested minors themselves. (This would make the oversexualisation of teen characters in anime all too damning and revealing.) I also think America might surpass Japan as the leading hub for adult animation. This is already a thing with not just Horseman Bojack and Rick and Morty but also Castlevania (itself adapted from Japanese games) and Primal.

There’s even an abundance of it online. If China and India are fit to replace Japan as the leading non-Western animation hubs, then America’s fit to replace Japan as the leading adult animation hub. Though not always the case, given China’s censorship guidelines America would be better-equipped to encourage more production and consumption of adult animation.

This is very possible given it’s already happening to a big extent. Enough to be too prescient.

After anime

I still think post-anime might be on the horizon should some anime professionals be taken seriously. Hayao Miyazaki said that the anime industry’s too full of nerds who don’t study real life (which might explain why anime characters are generally so stereotypical) and his protege Hideaki Anno said that the anime industry might not be around for long. Kemono Friends’s own producer said that Japanese animation might be surpassed by Chinese animation (Anno said the same things about Taiwanese animation).

The next anime professional might also say that child porn is anime’s own undoing and possibly the reason why it could end any time sooner. (Said professional might do something else at the same time when he says it.) I also think anime might not be around longer once it faces increased competition. It’s fair to say that for a long time Japan had a near-monopoly on non-Western animation in general. So much so that once other Asian countries (as well as their African counterparts) start rivalling Japan’s output anime’s going to decline anyways.

Same thing with America now having a sizable enough adult animation industry to rival Japan’s. If many other anime professionals admit anime’s trouble and that other countries are beginning to rival it, then anime’s decline is imminent.